198 THE AGRARIAN SYSTEM OF MOSLEM INDIA
whole, could hardly have been expected to rise above this
standard, because, with foreign trade interrupted, and a
consequent scarcity of silver, prices remained abnormally
low,! and the province generally was depressed. When,
therefore, the Valuation was revised in 1658, there would be
no accumulated data to justify a general rise, though
particular regions may have yielded the small increase
shown in Grant's figures.
Economic conditions began to change rapidly about this
time with the large influx of silver imported by the Dutch
and English Companies; and Grant conjectured, with some
probability, that at first the change was reflected, not in an
enhancement of the formal Demand, but in the imposition
of private cesses. If this is true, then the decay of the
Mogul administration under Aurangzeb would explain how,
in formal documents, the Demand on the Intermediaries,
based, as it had come to be, on the original Valuation, would
be shown as fixed, the actual enhancement being intercepted
by subordinates and in this way we should reach the position
as presented by Grant in the first half of the eighteenth
century, a Demand on the Intermediaries nominally almost
unchanged for more than a century, but increased by
cesses, first taken privately, then brought formally on to
the record, and growing by degrees, until, about the year
1755, the total recorded Demand on the Intermediaries
was about double the original standard.
This explanation of Grant's account is, it will be observed,
conjectural. My reasons for offering it are, firstly, that the
account, as it stands, is irreconcilable with the known
administrative methods of the Mogul Empire ; and, secondly,
that it holds the field in all recent discussions of eighteenth-
century conditions in Bengal. It is not absolutely incon-
ceivable that Akbar’s administrators should have adopted,
from the outset, methods entirely at variance with their
usual practice, and established in Bengal a revenue-Demand
not ordinarily alterable from vear to year; but it seems to
17 discussed these facts in From Akbar to Aurangzeb, 178 ff. 1 there
suggested that the annual drain of silver up-country might have been of
the order of 50 lakhs of rupees. Grant asserted (Analysis, 323) that the
drain was at least a kror yearly, but, again, I am doubtful as to his authority
for this statement.