Full text: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

SEMAINE D'ÉTUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L’ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC. 
1067 
[ think this is very important because, since, especially for India 
in the last 25 years, western aid policy for underdeveloped countries 
has been based on the hypothesis that real national income is pro- 
portional to real capital. Nobody has questioned this and we have 
spent many billions of dollars in a way which may have been less 
efficient than for examples, educating the people. In my opinion, if 
we consider all the variables which significantly influence develop: 
ment, I would say that capital is less important than other factors, 
and if this thesis were to be accepted, we should spend the greatest 
part of our help in other directions. 
[LEONTIEE 
As author of a paper I would like to comment at length on the 
interesting questions raised in the course of the subsequent discussion; 
as Chairman, I have the responsibility for adjourning this meeting 
within a few minutes. Thus. I will make these closing remarks very 
brief. 
In answering Professor MAHALANOBIS’ query, 1 must explain that 
the United Nations figures which I used as a basis for my calcula- 
tions include Continental China as they do Soviet Russia among the 
so-called centrally planned economies which I had to treat as belon- 
ging to the group of industrialized countries. 
All my computations were conducted on a total not-per capita 
basis. Translated into per capita terms, the discrepancy between the 
present growth rates of the underdeveloped and the industrialized 
parts of the world would of course appear to be still greater and the 
volume of the capital transfer required to eliminate, or at least to 
reduce this difference within the next ten years — still larger. 
So far as the concept of a take-off period is concerned, I suppose 
it might be applied to the entire ten-year time span covered by my 
hypothetical computation. 
I fully agree with Professor ALLAIS’ emphasis on the importance 
nf educational expenditure as a means of accelerating economic 
“ y] Leontief - pag. 20 
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