SEMAINE D'ÉTUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC. 
B. Projections for the 
Soviet Union 
116% 
In the Soviet Union the announced goals for agriculture 
represent goals both for production and for consumption, after 
adjustment for exports or imports and changes in stocks. Food 
consumption will also differ from production because some 
part of certain products is used for industrial purposes or part 
of the output is used as an intermediate product (feed or seed). 
For this brief discussion, the goals will be considered solely 
as production projections. The goals for the Sixth Five Year 
Plan (1956-60) and for the 1958-65 plan will be presented and 
compared with actual performance for the 1956-60 period and 
the first four years of the present plan. 
Table 7 presents information for each of ten agricultural 
commodities - output in 1955 and 1960, the goal for 1960, 
the actual increase and the planned increase, and the actual 
increase as a percentage of the planned increase. Of the ten 
goals, only one was fulfilled. This was the goal for sugar beets 
and it was overfulfilled by a substantial margin; in fact, by 
such a wide margin relative to the fulfillment of the other goals 
that it might be said that there was an error in the execution 
of the plan ('). Of the other nine goals, the actual increase in 
output as a percentage of the planned increase in output ranged 
from 17% for cotton to 48% for wool. Instead of gross agri- 
cultural output increasing by 70%, the increase was only 32% 
or 46% of the planned goal. 
The above comparison of goals and performance may be 
considered by some to be irrelevant since the Sixth Five Year 
Plan was abandoned in midstream. The Sixth Plan was repla- 
ced by the Seven Year Plan for the period 1959-65. While the 
Seven Year Plan is not yet completed — it is now in its fifth 
(') It should be noted that the procurements in 1960 were 5.2 million 
tons less than output. In 1955 the difference was only 0.4 million tons. 
The difference probably consists of both waste and feed. In addition, 5.9 
million tons of sugar beets were produced for feed in 1960. 
5 
Johnson - pag. 2c