SEMAINE D'ÉTUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC, 1185
With the points made in pp. 37-38, I am in complete agreement
We are rapidly promoting the use of fertilizers in India; we are also
starting the manufacture of machinery to set up new fertilizer plants.
But there is one point which has not been brought out, namely,
the need of price support, or more precisely, having both floor and
ceiling prices because consumers must also be protected. There
should be buffer stocks and open market operations to the largest
extent possible. In India, Government could hold 5 or 6 million
tons of foodgrains in suitably located warehouses. There would be
pre-determined floor prices which may vary for different crops in
different areas; when the price touches the pre-determined low point
in any area, Government would start purchasing immediately with
a guarantee to continue without limit; this would give necessary
price support to growers. On the other hand, once the ceiling price
is touched, Government would start selling and this would protect
the consumers. Such a system, I think is necessary in countries
where there is a scarcity of food but not in countries like Thailand
or Burma where there is a surplus. I think it would be of great
help if the advanced countries would try to persuade an underde-
veloped country to adopt the above policy (using if necessary United
States PL 480 arrangements) to build up buffer stocks and have
open-market operations with not too large a gap between the floor
and ceiling prices so that speculators would not come in. This
should be adequate; other methods of physical control may have to
be used if the scarcity becomes very acute. I am amplifying the
remedies but not really differing from Mr. JoHNSON.
[ could not agree more with the statement on page 38, that there
are many questions which are not now within the range of econo-
metricians, or may be they can never be — I am leaving that
question open; I am simply agreeing that they are now beyond the
techniques which have been so far developed and which may be
entirely suited to the needs of the advanced countries. There is a
great danger of highly trained econometricians in my country going
on solving problems which may be entirely valid in respect of ad-
vanced countries but which have no relevance to the problems
[16] Johnson - pag. 45