SEMAINE D'ÉTUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L’ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC. 129.
are these systems “in the air” today, but I think they will continue
to be so, I even think they will constitute the main object of our
discussion in the future. If we are discussing the econometrics of the
future we have to recognise this, and I will state a personal belief
that 100 years from now our grand-children will devote practically
all their efforts to the study of those models that deviate from the
free market system. They will use only an infinitesimal amount of
their energy discussing such things as, say, the stability of the
2quilibrium in a free market system. This is my conception of the
>conometrics of the future. A second point that was raised by Prof
ALLAIS was regarding social preferences. He objected to these prefe-
rences being decided by the responsable political authority. To this
{ can simply answer that so far there has not been invented any other
machinery than the political one, for steering an economy. We have
‘© accept this as a basic datum in our scientific researches.
The purpose of this conference is not to go into a complete
discussion of political theory and describe the whole list of political
system that are conceivable. But some political system there must
de and some authority has fo decide in the end. This I take as my
starting point. I simply accept the existence of a political authority
vhatever its nature may be.
A third point mentioned by Prof. Arrais: Who can decide on
vhat magnitudes ought to be attributed to the variables? The
politician cannot do it because he does not know econometrics. The
answer to this question hinges upon the distinction between the gross
ind the net form of the preference function. Of course the politician
does not know the depth of econometrics. This is precisely why the
scientific analyst in his interview with the policy maker has to con-
centrate on the gross form of the preference function, on the « Santa
Claus » form of the preference function. From the purely
psychological point of view you may, of course, interpret the word
gross as anything under the sun. But this is not what I have done.
l have put up a well-defined model, I have defined my concept of
gross and net. So therefore I must say that I find Prof. ALLAIS
remark in this particular connection absolutely irrelevant to the di
scussion of mv paner.
17) Frisch - pag. 25