(222 PONTIFICIAE ACADEMIAE SCIENTIARVM SCRIPTA VARIA - 2¢
With regard to Prof. DorFMAN’s intervention I believe I got the
sense of what he said when he compared my approach with his own.
He would rather prefer to take as a starting point some sort of
optimal solution, and then subsequently proceed to a discussion with
the politicians perhaps using a sort of iterative procedure in this
discussion. On this score there is, I think, a very little difference
between Prof. DORFMAN’s point of view and mine. It is simply a
question of how best to shape the interviewing technique.
Prof. DorFMAN also mentioned the possibility of presenting dif-
ferent described alternatives to the politician and letting him
choose between them. Possibly, that is not precisely Professor
DorFMAN’s point of view, but it is certainly the point of view of
somebody else around this table. So I think it merits being drawn
into our discussion. This is a very natural view point, a very simple
one. The idea is that the experts should work out different alterna-
tives. These alternatives should be listed on a big sheet of paper or
perhaps each alternative on its own sheet of paper. And then all
these sheets of paper should be put on the politicians table and the
scientific expert should say: « Now, please, out of these alternatives
choose the one you like. »
To me, this is an absolutely impossible procedure and I will
explain why. You can use this method if you have a very very
small model with two, three or four variables, because then the
aumber of possible alternatives is so small that the situation can be
grasped. But if you have a real programming problem with hundreds
of variables and thousands of possible alternatives, as you will have
for instance in an under-developed country that strives towards in-
dustrialization with a long list of investment projects, you will find
that the method of listing alternatives can produce nothing but com-
plete confusion. You would simply be facing what an expert mathe-
matical programmer would call information death. You would be
killed by the amount of information.
You must proceed in another way, you must proceed in such
a way that the computing machine takes over the task of keeping
:race of all the alternatives. If you are going to do that, there is
17] Frisch - pag. 26