SEMAINE D'ÉTUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L’ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC,
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scientifically, but they are data that science must take into
account in fostering economic development. We still have
anduly primitive tools and methods for ascertaining and
describing even approximately the objectives of any country
or any group within it. For example, we have no effective
way of determining how a community acts when it tries to
reconcile two such competing goals as a high rate of future
economic growth and a high level of present consumption.
Progress in this direction would not only be conducive to
better planning for given goals, but would also contribute to
a clearer formulation of these goals and to an improved level
of political discussion of them. This in turn would lead to a
more intelligent and satisfactory selection of such goals.
Our discussions also made clear the need for a better under.
standing of the capabilities as well as the limitations of various
instruments of economic policies which governments can use
in the pursuit of their short and long-run goals. Research on
the nature of the instruments available has been neglected in
favour of research on more narrowly economic problems, such
as production functions and market behavior in the private
sector. This neglect has led to the adoption of goals that could
aot be attained by means of the available instruments and to
overestimating the effectiveness of some instruments. In short,
more research is needed into what governments can and cannot
do in trying to foster economic development and stability.
A side of economic development which we feel cannot be
overemphasised is the race between increasing productivity and
increasing population. Most of the research discussed at the
Study Week was concerned with one aspect or another of
productivity; yet measures for influencing the rate of popul-
ation growth may contribute at times even more to human
welfare than measures for influencing productivity. Much
work, theoretical and empirical, sociological, physiological and
economic, is needed on the population problem. Econometri-
cians can contribute especially through theoretical studies on