Full text: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

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PONTIFICIAE ACADEMIAE SCIENTIARVM SCRIPTA VARIA - 28 
not open to doubt if, but only if, we are limiting ourselves to the 
physical point of view. But if human psychology is taken into 
account, this result does not remain valid. There are two reasons 
for this; I can give two examples. The first case is where the shape 
of the time preference curve implies a high preference for the future. 
In my book « Economie et intérét » in 1947 I studied a model in 
which the difference i-p between the rate of interest and the rate 
of growth of the primary income is negative, but nevertheless there 
is optimality in the paretian sense with an infinite horizon. My 
second example relates to the case where the utility functions are 
functions not only of consumption, but also of capital goods. If 
people want very much to possess capital goods, then there can be 
an optimal path with a negative difference i-p. 
My fifth point is that my Econometrica paper is only one study 
carrying forward things described in many preceding papers and I 
believe that I gave very precise consideration to the problem of the 
optimal path as long ago as 1947 in my book « Economie et inté- 
rét », that is fifteen years before the DEsrOUSSEAUX, PHELPS, JoAN 
ROBINSON, SWAN and Von WEIZSACKER studies which Professor 
KoorMANS mentioned. 
MALINVAUD 
In order to avoid the conclusion that no optimal program would 
exist, one has suggested that we drop the assumption of an infinite 
horizon. I cannot accept this point of view. Considering an infinite 
horizon often leads to interesting results concerning the non-opti- 
mality of programs which would appear as optimal if time were 
limited to some specific date, however far in the future this date 
may be. In such non-optimal programs, the economy is accumu- 
lating too much capital all the time and never take for consumption 
the full benefit of its high capital endowment. I see no way of 
discarding these programs if a finite horizon is adopted and if the 
terminal capital stock is taken as a constraint. 
51 Malinvaud - pag. 82
	        
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