106 PONTIFICIAE ACADEMIAE SCIENTIARVM SCRIPTA VARIA -
vel
ideal conditions are concerned, then, there seems little or no
reason for preferring one limited-information estimator to
another.
4.3. Small Sample Properties
The situation is not very different at the present time when
one considers small sample properties. To date, relatively little
is known about these and work has proceeded largely by means
of Monte Carlo experiments. Moreover, all such experiments
and such analytic work as is available have been exclusively
concerned with the case in which lagged endogenous variables
do not appear (or at least are not used as predetermined instru-
ments) and the analytic work has dealt only with those members
of the k-class with non-stochastic &. In the present context,
the former limitation is a severe one. Nevertheless, it seems
worth briefly discussing what is known about small sample
properties in such cases as the situation when lagged endogen-
ous variables are present is probably no more hopeful.
The principal point that has emerged on small sample pro-
perties of limited-information estimators is that the sampling
variances involved are infinite in some cases. Such a
conclusion is borne out both from the analytic work that
has been accomplished to date and by the results of the Monte
Carlo experiments that have been performed (%). It seems
idle to hope that this circumstance does not occur when lagged
endogenous variables are present in the model.
In practice, this unhappy circumstance has a number of
consequences. First, it is clearly the case that relatively little
reliance can be placed on judgments of goodness of fit derived
from consideration of asymptotic standard errors. Such asvmp-
(?°) See BASMANN [4], [5], BERGSTROM [6], NaGAR [22], and SARGAN
[28] for the analysis. JOHNSTON [I5, pp. 275-295] summarizes most of
the Monte Carlo experiments: see also OUANDT [2:5]. [26]
[6] Fisher - pag. 22