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3C"-SSION
WoLD
Prof. FISHER has given us an excellent survey of structura
properties and estimation techniques for the dynamic econometric
models known as interdependent (ID) systems and causal chain
(CC) systems. Having over many years emphasized the clearcut
rationale of CC systems, also known as recursive systems, I appre
ciate verv much the fair treatment he has given this approach. His
review of the ID approach is a very clarifying exposition of the many
estimation techniques that have been proposed for ID-systems, a
multitude of techniques that are known to work and give reconci-
lable results when applied to small systems, whereas the situation is
far from clear when it comes to large systems with many unknown
parameters. The very pluralism of the methods is an indication that
the problem of parameter estimation in large ID-systems has not
yet found a satisfactory solution.
The questions at issue are technical matter, Hence the first thing
is to summarize what the two types models have and have not in
common, so as to be able to locate and if possible clear up any
divergencies that may exist. Three points will be mentioned.
(1) In the beginning of section 2, Prof. FISHER states three as:
sumptions R 1-3 that are to be satisfied by a CC system, al. in
accordance with current theory of the probability structure and
61] Fisher - pag. 6=