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PONTIFICIAE ACADEMIAE SCIENTIARVM SCRIPTA VARIA - 28
cerning public investment, not the effects of empirically observed
public investment. Incidentally, in my model there will in general
be included cycles in public investment too. Koopmans has asked
whether the conclusions about growth depend on the assumption
of cycles in private investment. The answer is « yes ».
WoLD
When reading Professor HAAVELMO’s paper I was struck by
‘he contrast between the simple and seemingly innocent assumptions
on the one side, and the rather startling implications and conclu-
sions on the other, and at the same time it puzzled me that he gives
little or no comment whether his results can or cannot be reconciled
with current theories. Somehow I got the feeling that Professor
HAAvELMO has written his paper with tongue in cheek, and this
impression was confirmed as I consulted him about his paper one
of the first days of the Study Week. I should now like to ask
whether I have understood his intentions correctly, namely that the
paper illustrates the danger of mixing together the theories of two
different regimes of economic conditions: on the one hand the serious
depression around 1930, and the Keynesian theory of measures to
get rid of the depression, on the other hand the modern theories
of economic growth? More specifically, is it the point of the paper
that the Keynesian assumptions are appropriate for a regime of
unemployment and unused capacity, whereas these same assump-
tions lead to unrealistic and startling conclusions in a regime of full
employment and full utilization of capacity? If so, how are the
hypotheses underlying Professor HAAVELMO’s simple model to be
sorted out between the two regimes? A clarifying answer to these
questions would add greatly to the appropriate understanding of
Professor HAAVELMO’s important model.
(81 Haavelmo - pag. 24