SEMAINE D’ETUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L’ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC.
659
Here we have new problems arising because the E;’s and
E,; 's although representing flow-variables (services from labour
in the unit of time) come from, and are inseparably linked to,
a stock-variable (the labour force) which may not be perfectly
mobile. As appears from (V.16), if population is constant
(g=0) employment in each sector ¢ increases or decreases
through time according to whether r;>p; or r;<p;. This means
that, on the average, half of the sectors are offering jobs and
half of the sectors are dismissing workers, as time goes on.
Clearly, this may be a very serious state of affairs — especially
In a very progressive system, i.e. in a system with very high
2s — if labour is highly specialized and is not susceptible of
being transferred from one sector to another except at the ex
pense of heavy losses in productivity.
Fortunately, the natural movements of population come in
here to help in the right direction and in two senses. First of
all, the natural process of people ageing permits a redistribution
sf employment among sectors by addressing young workers
towards expanding sectors and by not replacing retired people
in the contracting sectors. This may be a slow process, but
it is one which is going on even when population is stationary.
Secondly, when population is growing, its rate of increase is
a net positive addition to the rate of change of demand (and
herefore of employment) in all sectors. It follows that, in
absolute terms, only those sectors will actually lose employment
where the rate of increase in productivity is so high and the
rate of increase in per-capita demand so low that the difference
between the two is not only negative, but negative to such an
extent as to make the sum (g+7;-g;) less than zero, or rather
the sum (g+7;-g;+¢) less than zero, where @ stands for
the rate of people’s retirement from working activities (6)
(®) At this point restrictions (V.6), discussed in section 2, may be re-
written with reference both to the stocks of capital and to employment of
abour in each single sector. in the following wavy:
V
‘continued on following page)
‘10) Pasinetli - pag. 89