MOVEMENTS AND TRADE 117
gold would move to one or the other but in relatively small
amounts. If, however, the excess on one side or the other were
long continued, gold would be drained away in such quantities
that bank reserves would be in danger of exhaustion in the
debtor country. The manipulation of a gold exchange standard
demands, in fact, continuous and close consideration of adverse
movements of the exchange because of their tendency to stimu-
late the export of gold, and it also necessitates the formulation
of measures to check undue depletion of gold reserves, i.e. credit
contraction, which, as we have seen, may be sudden and severe
enough to produce a crisis.
Hawtrey has examined very exhaustively the root causes of
such movements of gold, and has shown that they arise both
from purely monetary and non-monetary causes. The monetary
causes of gold movements are connected with changes in the
relative value of British and Australian currency. Gold moved
from Australia to Britain either because British currency
appreciated in value owing to contraction of credit there, or
because Australian currency depreciated through expansion
of currency here.! Keeping in mind the conditions between
1900 and 1913, consider the case of an inflation of credit in
Australia in its effects on trade and gold movement. An ex-
pansion of credit increases temporarily the purchasing power
of the community affected. Exporters of Australian products
may be expected to enlarge the scope of their operations by
working on increased overdraits. Primary producers from whom
they buy receive the money as income; and, as this is spent,
the demand for both foreign-trade and home-trade commodities
is increased. Foreign-trade commodities are those which might
be either exported or imported, together with Australian
commodities which compete with imports, that portion of
primary products which is consumed in Australia, and, lastly,
any commodities which, though wholly produced and consumed
in Australia, are so far exposed to potential competition that
they are tied approximately to world-prices. All commodities
on foreign countries ruling in London, and fix their rates with London according
to the state of their cash balances in London. Only in exceptional circumstances
do the (British and Australian) rates move far from parity. —Copland.
L An excellent treatment of the Anglo-Australian exchange situation will be
found in Chapter IT of Foreign Banking Systems (Henry Holt) entitled ‘The Banking
System of Australia’, by Professor D. B. Copland.