STOCK SPECULATION—DANGERS AND BENEFITS 133
Collateral loans do not materially strain our money market
because the money which flows into call loans arises from
surplus banking funds.® This tends, of course, to restrict the
amount of such loans, as the high call rates for money fre-
quently indicate. Moreover, collateral loans are in a practical
way often undesirable to lenders, since they cannot be redis-
counted at Federal Reserve banks.!®* When, therefore, we get
a proper and full perspective of security collateral loans in
their relation to other loans, we cannot help realizing that they
cannot be held responsible for serious credit shortages. Neither
are collateral loans an economic waste, but a very necessary
financial operation in behalf of the indispensable and necessary
work which the stock speculator performs for business and
society 1!
Effect of Speculation upon Prices.—Another charge is
frequently made against speculation in securities—that it “un-
settles prices.” ** The fundamental cause for changing prices
is, of course, changing values. In a market where values never
changed there would never be any speculation. The more
speculative character of the stock than the bond market is due
to the fundamental fact that as a rule the value of bonds is less
subject to change than the value of stocks. Speculation merely
‘ntervenes to adjust present prices to future but seemingly
probable values. In this discounting of future conditions which
results from speculation in stocks, we have seen that Stock
Exchange price changes in the past have anticipated future
changes in values. Naturally, such prophetic price changes are
affected by human fallibility. Everyone, of course, knows that
at the climax of a “bull market” prices for a time rise above
what eventually turn out to be future values, and similarly at
the end of a decline in the market, prices get below future
values. Yet such conditions are only temporary, and it is
® See Chapter X-, p. 301.
© See Chapter XI, p. 278.
1 See Chapters 1V, p. 105, and XI, p. 302,
12 See Appendix Vb.