584
APPENDIX
corporations whose stocks are dealt in on the exchange, where, in a
period of liquidation, what is known as the odd-lot buyer appears in
the markets; then, with stock like that of the Steel Corporation and
General Motors and others, you will find the number of stockholders
increases tremendously in a declining market. Figures have recently
been published in New York market reviews showing the changes in
the number of stockholders in those two companies. And what hap-
pens is that the public, in a declining market, see that stocks are selling
at a bargain and come in with the cash, buy the stock, and take it out
of the stock loan account.” (Statement and testimony of Governor
Benjamin Strong of the New York Federal Reserve Bank before the
Agricultural Inquiry Commission [ Washington, August, 1921], p. 630.)
(IVk) The only current statistical indication as to the “technical
condition” of the stock market floating supply as a whole consists in
the ratio of Stock Exchange member borrowings on security collateral
to the market value of all listed shares. The publication of the former
was undertaken February 1, 1926. Statistics (also as of the opening
of business on the first of each month) as to the market value of listed
securities have regularly been compiled by the Statistical Department
of the Stock Exchange since January 1, 1925. This ratio, although
far from a scientific method of measurement, presumably does indicate
the periods when the relative size of the floating supply has become,
unusually great or unusually small. Thus, empirically, it did indicate
the dangerous current technical condition of the stock market by rising
to 10.23% on March 1, 1926, and to 9.83% on October 1, 1929. But
the ratio can of course be deflected by the unusual use of bonds or
unlisted securities as collateral. Also when both loans and stock values
advance equally, the ratio might not change very much even when a
condition of unusual inflation in both items had arisen.
(IVI) DistriBUTION OF UNITED STATES STEEL COMMON AND
PREFERRED STOCKS, 1910-1028
Showing drift of shares from speculators (brokers’ names) to investors
(individual names)
CoMMON STOCK PREFERRED STOCK
Date of Quarterly
Statement
December 31, 1909...
March 31, 1910... ..
June 30, 1910........
September 30, 1910...
December 31, 1910...
March 31, 1911......
June 30, 1911... ...
Brokers
r- 41 %
nA
~A
5:
8 or
Individuals
59%
ie A
of)
- por
Brokers
57%
2)
02
6
4. 30
Individuals
82.43%
83.21
84.38
85.02
85.41
85.41
85.61