ORGANIZED SECURITY MARKETS
47
Moreover, the system is self-corrective, owing to the con-
stant speculation in the stock market. \Whenever a price of a
stock deviates temporarily from its intrinsic value, an oppor-
tunity for a profit is at once afforded to thousands of keen and
experienced speculators, who are not slow to seize it. If the
price is below the value, they buy “for the rise”; while if the
price is above the value, they sell “for the decline.” As a result
of this speculative buying or selling, the inaccurate price is
speedily driven back to conform with the inherent value of the
security. Inaccurate judgment on the part of the speculator is
quickly discouraged by the surest method that could possibly be
devised—he loses money. Only in a highly organized market
can short sales be readily and safely effected. In consequence,
only in such a market do current prices have the full benefit of
the free and unhampered interplay of speculative forces.
It is, of course, true that prices established on a great stock
exchange reflect collective human judgment, which like all
human things may occasionally prove quite in error. It is also
true that in markets into which the public freely comes, the
collective psychology of the market sometimes may become
subject to public excitement. The price movements of such
markets up or down are likely to be accentuated by the exag-
gerated hopes and fears of the inexperienced, just as the roll
of a ship is increased by the movements of its loose ballast.
Nevertheless, the collective judgment of the public as reflected
in Stock Exchange prices is superior to its average judgment,
since the stock market is affected by economic as well as merely
psychological factors. The convincing reply to those who criti-
cize the stock market as a very imperfect register of security
values is, that if their own individual judgments are really so
superior to those of the market, they have discovered for them-
selves a royal road to fortune. Few such critics, however, ever
seem to avail themselves of their unique gifts by a practical
demonstration in the market.
It is a mistake to associate manipulation with stock ex-
changes. The more highly a market is organized. and the