XV.—BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTION AND NORMAL CURVE. 293
independence, of the Ng failures of the first event (Ng)g will be
associated (on an average) with failures of the second event, and
(&g)p with successes of the second event (cf. row 2 of the scheme
on p. 292). Similarly of the Ap successful first events, (¥p)g will
be associated (on an average) with failures of the second event
and (Np)p with successes. In trials of two events we would
therefore expect approximately Ng? cases of no success, 2Npg
cases of one success and one failure, and Np? cases of two successes,
as in row 3 of the scheme. The results of a third event may be
combined with those of the first two in precisely the same way.
Of the Ng® cases in which both the first two events failed, (¥q2)q
will be associated (on an average) with failure of the third also,
(N¢®)p with success of the third. Of the 2/Npq cases of one
success and one failure, (28pg)g will be associated with failure
of the third event and (28pg)p with success, and similarly for
the Np? cases in which both the first two events succeeded. The
result is that in A trials of three events we should expect Ng?
cases of no success, 3 Npg? cases of one success, 3 Np? cases of two
successes, and Np? cases of three successes, as in row 5 of the
scheme. The scheme is continued for the results of a fourth
event, and it is evident that all the results are included under a
very simple rule: the frequencies of 0, 1, 2 . . . . successes are
given
for one event by the binomial expansion of N(g +p)
for two events » ” Ng +p)?
for three events i N(g+p)?
for four events . fs N(g+p)t
and soon. Quite generally, in fact :—the Jrequenciesof0,1,2 . . ..
successes in IN trials of n events are given by the successive terms
wn the binomial expansion of N(q +p)", viz.—
n(n —1 n(n—1)(n-2
vy "+ n.g" p+ Lon ) pry ( RS Jolson l
This is the first theoretical expression that we have obtained for
the form of a frequency-distribution,
3. The general form of the distributions given by such
binomial series will have been evident from the experimental
examples given in Chapter XIII, i.e. they are distributions
of greater or less asymmetry, tailing off in either direction
from the mode. The distribution is, however, of so much
importance that it is worth while considering the form in
greater detail. This form evidently depends (1) on the values
of ¢ and p, (2) on the value of the exponent n. If p and ¢
are equal, evidently the distribution must be symmetrical, for