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en
INTERNATIONAL TRADE
goods, the substantive course of international trade, the eventual
price situation in the trading countries, the barter terms of trade,
are affected.
An early and almost immediate effect clearly is to stimulate the
movement of goods from the remitting country (Great Britain)
to the receiving country (United States). The British traders
who sell goods in the United States receive more than before for
the dollar exchange which they can put on the market. There is
something like a bounty on British exports, felt first by the mer-
chants and middlemen, soon by the producers. The extent and
the duration of that bounty depend on the conditions under which
the goods are produced in Great Britain. If they are produced
solely for export, the bounty will be large and will last for some
time. Altho goods in stock may be pushed for export more
rapidly when the movement begins, altho the first stage may be
merely that of taking up the slack, no really effective addition
to the quantity exported can take place until more of the goods are
produced ; and that takes time, perhaps much time. Such would
be the case, for example, with coffee exported from Brazil; the
domestic consumption is negligible, the export sale dominant, the
output very constant. If, however, there is a substantial domestic
consumption — if the output had previously been marketed partly
at home and partly in the United States — there would be some
shift from the domestic market to the foreign, and so some addi-
tional export of goods, some additional supply of dollar exchange
in London. Exchange will not rise in London as high as would
have been the case without these further exports. The extent
of the addition to the supply of dollar exchange will depend on the
extent to which consumption and sales in the domestic market are
curtailed. At the other extreme would be the case where the
domestic consumption had previously absorbed the greater portion
of the output, and the export had been but a small portion. Here
there is more easily a shift from the domestic market to the foreign,
and a larger and quicker addition to the supply of dollar exchange.
The extent and speed of these adjustments will be affected
obviously by the elasticity of the domestic demand. If that be