Causes of the Panic 53
York on November 22, 1929, that the public by bid-
ding up the price of securities, “ignored yield and
earnings in the belief that the country’s growth
would increase the equity and boost the price” of
shares of sound enterprises. No doubt their enthu-
siasm led them, as Professor Hollander asserts, to
make no allowance for business recession, for specu-
lative manipulation, or foreign disturbance.
My own impression has been and still is that the
market went up principally because of sound, justi-
fied expectations of earnings, and only partly because
of unreasoning and unintelligent mania for buying.
The reasons for this view will be elaborated later.
Chief Cause in Unsound Credit Situation
The very soundness of these prospects led to an
unsound credit situation, that is, to general over-
extension of margin accounts. Bear raiders cleverly
took advantage of this situation, selling “short” in
large blocks, many of these stocks which had been
unloaded upon the market and thrown into weak
hands, thus precipitating distress selling and panic.
An authority on the New York Stock Exchange,
whose name is withheld, is disposed to assign to the
raiders a causal 16le, but not one of supreme impor-
tance. He says:
“I do not agree with some commentators as to
the comparative importance of bear raiding in the
break this fall. Undoubtedly, bear raiding was a
factor in the decline. Yet the results of the Stock
Exchange investigation into this question have shown