Contents: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

1046 PONTIFICIAE ACADEMIAE SCIENTIARVM SCRIPTA VARIA - 28 
the Developed and Underdeveloped Areas might be affected 
by changes in the fraction of the Gross National Product of the 
first transferred for investment purposes into the second area 
and also changes in the distribution of the GNP — in both 
groups of countries — between current consumption and pro- 
luctive investment. 
The growth functions (4) and (9) are used to project the 
GNP of the Developed and the Underdeveloped Areas over a 
ten year period, 1959-1969. 
The structural coefficients entering into these equations 
depend — see (10) — on the base year magnitude of the GNP’s, 
of the productive investments in both Areas and also on their 
respective long-run growth rates in the base year. 
Each table is based on a different combination of the estim- 
ated 1959 growth rates of both countries and of the estimated 
amount of domestically financed investment absorbed by the 
Underdeveloped Areas in that year. The estimates of the 1959 
GNP’s of both Areas and of the amount of gross investment 
absorbed in that year by the Developed countries remain the 
same through all the computation. 
The first column of figures in each table presents one par- 
ticular estimate of the base year state of both groups of coun- 
tries and also the levels of their respective GNP’s « ten years 
later », projected from 1959 to 1969. This projection is made 
on the assumption that the domestic saving ratios in both Areas 
retain their base year magnitudes and that the economically 
more advanced countries continue, throughout the ten year 
period in question, to transfer to the less advanced the same 
percentage (h) of their annual GNP as they did in 1950. 
The three other columns show how hypothetically postulated 
changes in original allocation of the GNP’s of both areas — if 
introduced in the base year and then maintained over the ten 
years covered by our projections — would have affected the 
levels of their respective GNP’s « ten years later », i.e., in 
1969. The corresponding average annual growth rates over 
the period 1959-10609 are entered below 
13] Leontief - pag. 8
	        
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