SEMAINE D'ETUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC.
40.
easy to dispose of it. We shall then be free to turn our atten-
tion to the class of estimators ordinarily used in these problems
the limited-information class.
It is customary in these discussions to pay lip-service to
full-information maximum likelihood as the optimal estimator
using all information available and then to dismiss it in prac-
tice as too difficult of computation. While it is still true that
such computational difficulties are still prohibitive in practice
for even moderately large systems (1%), such dismissal no lon-
ger suffices. This is the case because there are now two full
information estimators which are known to have the same
asymptotic distribution as full-information maximum likeli-
hood and which are not particularly difficult to compute. These
are the three-stage least squares estimator proposed by ZELLNER
and THEIL and the linearized maximum likelihood method of
ROTHENBERG and LEENDERS (!°). Since the known virtues of
full-information maximum likelihood are all asymptotic, com:
putational difficulty can no longer be considered a valid reasor
for not using some such method.
As it happens, however, there are more cogent reasons thar
computational difficulty for the abandonment of full-informa-
tion methods in practice. However desirable the properties of
full-information methods may be in principle when all assump-
tions are met, such estimators suffer relatively heavily from
a lack of robustness in the presence of common practical dif-
ficulties. Thus KLEIN and NAKAMURA have suggested that
full-information maximum likelihood is more sensitive to
multicollinearity than are limited-information estimators (%)
(18) The difficulties are being overcome, however. See EISENPRESS [7%]
(19) ZELLNER and THEIL [37]; ROTHENBERG and LEENDERS [26]. Ro-
THENBERG and LEENDERs give the proof that these estimators have the same
asymptotic distribution as full-information maximum likelihood. See also
SARGAN [27] and MapaNsky [20]. BrowN’s simultaneous least squares {6?]
[which is a member of the full-information class] is known to be consistent
but is not known to have the same asvmptotic distribution as the other
members.
(2°) KLEIN and NAKAMUR/
‘vi Fisher - pag.
1”,