Migration and business cycles

Bibliographic data

Monograph

Identifikator:: 1736236210

URN:: urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-111544

Document type:: Monograph

Author:: Jerome, Harry

Title:: Migration and business cycles

Place of publication:: New York

Publisher:: National Bureau of Economic Research

Year of publication:: 1926

Scope:: 256 S.

Digitisation:: 2020

Collection:: Economics Books

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Document type:: Monograph

Structure type:: Chapter

Title:: Chapter VIII. The influence of economic conditions in the countries of emigration

Collection:: Economics Books

MIGRATION AND BUSINESS CYCLES On the other hand, an examination of the major features of agricultural and industrial conditions in Sweden does not afford an equally consistent explanation of the cyclical fluctuations in Swedish emigration to the United States. For example, excellent crops in 1892 and 1906 were followed in the respective fiscal years ending six months later, by a decline in emigration to the United States; but in 1890 and 1900, by an increase. Likewise, poor crops in 1902 were followed by increasing emigration, but poor harvests in 1904 by decreasing emigration. Also, when we turn to the general business or industrial conditions in Sweden, no obvious consistent relation appears between cyclical changes in emigration to the United States and the concurrent prevalence of good or bad times in Swedish industry. For example, the years 1892, 1893, and 1894 were characterized in Sweden by depression in business, and were followed by declining emigration to the United States; also, in 1895 conditions underwent a subs- tantial improvement, and emigration to the United States in the year ending June 30, 1896, increased decidedly. In these years, it would appear that bad conditions in Sweden diminished emigration, while good conditions stimulated it. On the other hand, the pros- perous years of 1896, 1897, and 1898 were followed by low emigra- tion, and the poor harvests and industrial depression of 1902 in Sweden were followed by increased emigration to the United States, which reached a peak, for this century, of approximately forty-six thousand in the year ending June 30, 1903. In brief, while conditions in Sweden have probably exerted some influence upon fluctuations in emigration to the United States in the period since 1870, that influence has usually been consistent with, or at least less effective, than the attracting and repelling power, respectively, of good and bad conditions in the United States. Russia. Immigration to the United States from Russia was relatively small prior to the eighties, not reaching ten thousand in any one year. It increased sharply in the year ending June 30, 1882— rising from about 5,000 in the previous year to almost 17,000. Either the prosperous conditions in the United States in the early eighties or the beginning of outrages against the Jews in Russia in April, 1881, offer a plausible explanation for this spurt. Likewise, after further persecution of the Jews in 1883 and 1834, immigration from Russia, which had slumped somewhat following the spurt of 2006

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