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Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

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fullscreen: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Monograph

Identifikator:
1824422792
URN:
urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-217476
Document type:
Monograph
Title:
Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
Place of publication:
Amsterdam [u.a.]
Publisher:
North-Holland Publ. Co. [u.a.]
Year of publication:
1965
Scope:
XLVII, 1259 S.
graph. Darst.
Digitisation:
2022
Collection:
Economics Books
Usage license:
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Chapter

Document type:
Monograph
Structure type:
Chapter
Title:
Statistical tools and techniques in perspective planning in India / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institute - Calcutta - India
Collection:
Economics Books

Contents

Table of contents

  • Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
  • Title page
  • Le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • La semaine d'etude sur le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • L'audience et le discours du saint-pere
  • Les «semaines d'etude» et leur reglement
  • The analysis of economic systems / Richard Stone, Cambridge University - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • Toward a verdict on macroeconomic simultaneous equations / Herman O.A. Wold, Universitets Statistika Institution - Uppsala - Sverige
  • Econometric analysis for assessing the efficacy of public investment / R. Dorman, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • On the concept of optimal economic growth / Tjalling C. Koopmans, Cowles Foundation for research in Econimics at Yale University New Haven, Conn. - U.S.A.
  • Croissance optimales dans un modele macroeconomique / E. Malinvaud, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques Paris - France
  • Dynamic structure and estimation in economy-wide econometric models / FranklinM. Fisher, Massachuetts Institute of Technology - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • Decision rules and simulation techniques in development programming / Henri Theil, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool - Econometrisch Institut Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Some observations on countercyclical fiscal policy and its effects on economic growth / Trygve Haavelmo, Universitetet i Oslo - Oslo - Norge
  • Balanced growth and technical progress in a log-linear multisectoral economy / Michio Morishima, Osaka University - Osaka - Japan
  • A new theoretical approach to the problems of economic growth / Luigi L. Pasinetti, King's College - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • The role of capital in economic development / Maurice Allais, Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Mines Paris - France
  • Spatial organization and regional planning: Some hypotheses for econometric analysis / Walter Isard, Department of regional Science - University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Penn. - U.S.A.
  • The rates of long-run economic growth and capital transfer from developed to underdeveloped areas / Wassily Leontief, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • The social transformation for national development / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institue - Calcutta - India
  • Statistical tools and techniques in perspective planning in India / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institute - Calcutta - India
  • Econometric analysis and agricultural and development plans / D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago - Chicago - U.S.A.
  • Selection and implementation the econometrics of the future / Ragnar Frisch, Universitetet i Oslo - Sosialøkonomisk Institutt - Oslo- Norge
  • The economic framework of regional planning / Jan Tinbergen, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Conclusions
  • Contents

Full text

1110 
PONTIFICIAE ACADEMIAE SCIENTIARVM SCRIPTA VARIA - 28 
TABLE I 
Investment allocation, capital per worker and 
net outbut-investment ratio 
slan 
ercentage allocation ; ; . 
p of sdlage au for capital net output-investment ratio 
— -- per 
invest- consumer worker 
ment goods (Rs.) 
goods 
invest- consumer total 
ment goods (AiBi+AcPe) 
goods 
m 
8 
Second Plan: 
Draf plan-frame 
(1955) - . . 
Second plan: actual 
(1956-61) . . - 
Third plan: estimate 
(1061-66) . . 39 61 6.000 
0.21 
2C 
0.67 0.51 
0.53 
0.38 
0.63 
0.47 
Many changes were made in the targets and allocations 
of the Draft Plan-frame at the stage of the preparation of the 
Second Plan; the values of the parameters of the Second Plan 
as actually realized and the values given in the Draft Plan- 
frame are therefore not strictly comparable. The interesting 
point to note is that the estimated parameters for the Third 
Plan are fairly close to the parameters used in the Draft Plan- 
frame. 
The rate of investment («,) in the first year of the Second 
Five Year Plan was 9.8 per cent, the initial national income (Y,) 
was Rs. 108.0 billion and the values of the other parameters 
were A; =36%, A, =64%, B;=0.11, B.=0.53, as given in the 
second row of the above table. Using these values in the above 
expression, the estimated national income comes out as 
Rs. 129.7 billion for 1960-61 against an actual figure of 
Rs. 130.1 billion both expressed at 1952-53 prices. In the case 
of the Third Five Year Plan, using the parameters given in 
the third row of the table, an initial income of Rs. 145.0 billion 
(at 1960-61 prices) and an initial rate of investment of II per 
"15] Mahalanobis II - pag. 8
	        

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