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Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

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fullscreen: Study week on the econometric approach to development planning

Monograph

Identifikator:
1824422792
URN:
urn:nbn:de:zbw-retromon-217476
Document type:
Monograph
Title:
Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
Place of publication:
Amsterdam [u.a.]
Publisher:
North-Holland Publ. Co. [u.a.]
Year of publication:
1965
Scope:
XLVII, 1259 S.
graph. Darst.
Digitisation:
2022
Collection:
Economics Books
Usage license:
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Chapter

Document type:
Monograph
Structure type:
Chapter
Title:
The analysis of economic systems / Richard Stone, Cambridge University - Cambridge - Great Britain
Collection:
Economics Books

Contents

Table of contents

  • Study week on the econometric approach to development planning
  • Title page
  • Le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • La semaine d'etude sur le role de l'analyse econometrique dans la formulation de plans de development
  • L'audience et le discours du saint-pere
  • Les «semaines d'etude» et leur reglement
  • The analysis of economic systems / Richard Stone, Cambridge University - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • Toward a verdict on macroeconomic simultaneous equations / Herman O.A. Wold, Universitets Statistika Institution - Uppsala - Sverige
  • Econometric analysis for assessing the efficacy of public investment / R. Dorman, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • On the concept of optimal economic growth / Tjalling C. Koopmans, Cowles Foundation for research in Econimics at Yale University New Haven, Conn. - U.S.A.
  • Croissance optimales dans un modele macroeconomique / E. Malinvaud, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques Paris - France
  • Dynamic structure and estimation in economy-wide econometric models / FranklinM. Fisher, Massachuetts Institute of Technology - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • Decision rules and simulation techniques in development programming / Henri Theil, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool - Econometrisch Institut Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Some observations on countercyclical fiscal policy and its effects on economic growth / Trygve Haavelmo, Universitetet i Oslo - Oslo - Norge
  • Balanced growth and technical progress in a log-linear multisectoral economy / Michio Morishima, Osaka University - Osaka - Japan
  • A new theoretical approach to the problems of economic growth / Luigi L. Pasinetti, King's College - Cambridge - Great Britain
  • The role of capital in economic development / Maurice Allais, Ecole Nationale Supérieure de Mines Paris - France
  • Spatial organization and regional planning: Some hypotheses for econometric analysis / Walter Isard, Department of regional Science - University of Pennsylvania Philadelphia, Penn. - U.S.A.
  • The rates of long-run economic growth and capital transfer from developed to underdeveloped areas / Wassily Leontief, Harvard University - Cambridge, Mass. - U.S.A.
  • The social transformation for national development / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institue - Calcutta - India
  • Statistical tools and techniques in perspective planning in India / P.C. Mahalanobis, Indian Statistical Institute - Calcutta - India
  • Econometric analysis and agricultural and development plans / D. Gale Johnson, University of Chicago - Chicago - U.S.A.
  • Selection and implementation the econometrics of the future / Ragnar Frisch, Universitetet i Oslo - Sosialøkonomisk Institutt - Oslo- Norge
  • The economic framework of regional planning / Jan Tinbergen, Nederlandsche Economische Hoogeschool Rotterdam - Nederland
  • Conclusions
  • Contents

Full text

PONTIFICIAE ACADEMIAE SCIENTIARVM SCRIPTA VARIA - 28 
2. STEADY STATES AND TRANSIENT STATES 
In planning for the future, we should recognise, first, that 
what we do now affects to some extent what we can do in the 
future and, second, that what we shall want to do in the 
future, and what facilities we shall have to do it with, becomes 
less and less clear as we try to imagine times which are more 
and more remote. We cannot work forward into the future 
without setting a target and we cannot derive this target from 
the remote future because we have no information about it. 
Accordingly, we have set up our model of growth in two parts, 
and our solution comes from iterating between them. One part 
is concerned with the rates at which the outputs of different 
products might grow after a transitional period ending, say, 
in 1970; this is the long-run or steady-state model. The other 
part is concerned with the problem of adapting the economy 
during the transitional period to meet the initial conditions 
of the steady state of growth; this is the short-run or transient 
model. 
The structure of these two models and the relationship be- 
tween them can best be seen by concentrating on essentials and 
leaving all detail for subsequent treatment. The two structures 
are shown in diagram 3 below. 
Each structure involves a building block for each period, 
containing five components: assets, labour, output, investment 
and consumption. We can describe the relationships between 
these five components in two ways. On the one hand we may 
say that given amounts of assets and of labour enable us to 
produce a certain amount of final output which will be absorb- 
ed either by investment or by consumption: this is the order 
that appears in the transient model. On the other hand we 
may say that investment and consumption add up to final out- 
put and that, given the labour available, the production of this 
output will require certain quantities of assets: this is the order 
[1] Stone - pag. 28
	        

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Study Week on the Econometric Approach to Development Planning. North-Holland Publ. Co. [u.a.], 1965.
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