Full text: Banking standards under the federal reserve system

SERIES CORRELATED WITH DEPOSITS 207 
the directions (but not the rates) of change from year to year 
tend to agree. In other words, ratios of time deposits to total 
deposits and ratios of total expense to gross earnings are posi- 
tively correlated with respect to position relative to their own 
district level, and also as to direction of change from year to year. 
The year-to-year changes between 1919 and 1925 in ratios of 
time deposits to total deposits were predominantly upward; in 
ratios of investments to earning assets, they were almost evenly 
divided between increases and decreases. If the upper half of 
Table 128 is observed, it will be found that (1) net increases in 
ratios of gross earnings, of total expense, and of net earnings are 
associated with increasing ratios of time deposits and decreasing 
ratios of investments, and (2) that the ratios in each of the 
series show a net decrease when the ratios of both time deposits 
and investments increase. Moreover, it is seen that the net per- 
centage increase of 1.72 in ratios of gross earnings, for the 635 
district-years in which time deposits increase, becomes 6.41% 
increase for the 34 district-years in which ratios of time deposits 
increase and those of investments decrease. For the 31 district- 
years in which both ratios increase, the net change in ratios of 
gross earnings is a decrease of 3.43%. Similar relations, accord- 
ing to direction of change, obtain for ratios of total expense. For 
net earnings, however, the type of association is different. The 
net decrease of 1.32% obtaining for the 65 district-years in which 
the ratios of time deposits increase becomes 5.20% for the 31 in 
which ratios of both time deposits and investments increase. On, 
the other hand, for the 34 district-years in which ratios of time 
deposits increase and in which investments decrease, the net 
change in ratio of net earnings is an increase of 2.22%. 
On the types of association between ratios of gross earnings, 
of net earnings, and of total expense and variable amounts of 
time deposits in relation to total deposits, when the ratios for the 
correlated series are the deviations from the yearly averages for 
the country as a whole, it is unnecessary to speak at length. In 
general, however, and in spite of the fact that geographical and 
other factors make it difficult to isolate the functional relation- 
ships, the inverse correlation between ratios of time deposits to 
total deposits and ratios of net earnings to earning assets, found 
for deviations from district averages and for year-to-year changes, 
holds for districts which were respectively above and below the
	        
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