ER THEORY OF STATISTICS.
If we now compute the theoretical frequencies from (8), putting
A="61, we have the following results :—
Actual Frequency assigned
Deaths: An, by Se Tomit,
0 109 108-7
1 65 66°38
RB 2 202
3 41
1 *7 (4 and over)
The agreement here is excellent, but such a concordance is not
very common in actual statistics. Cases do, however, occur in
which the method is of service, and the advanced student will find
that the reasoning illustrated is of value in many theoretical
investigations.
IV. GOODNESS OF FIT.
(Supplementary to Chapter XVII.)
IN par. 15, Chapter XV. (p. 308), it was remarked that the general
treatment of the problem, whether the discrepancies between
any system of observed frequencies and those postulated by a
theoretical law might have arisen by the operation of simple
sampling, was beyond the scope of this work. As, however, the
student will find in the course of his reading that a test of this
character is often applied in practical problems, the following
notes may be of service by way of comment on, or elucidation
of, the highly technical papers in which the subject is fully
discussed (see refs. 22 and 23, p. 315, and also additional
refs. on p. 394).
The student who has followed the argument leading up to
the table on p. 310 will have perceived that, when the frequency
distribution of a variable is known, the probability that a set of
observations departing from the most likely value would occur
can be evaluated by comparing the portion of area bounded by
the ordinate corresponding to the observed deviation with the
whole area of the theoretical curve, and the work is illustrated
in Examples i.-iv. of pp. 311-313. In this case there is only a
single variable, and the test for goodness of fit is reduced to its
simplest terms. But a consideration of Chapter XVI., and the
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