THE VALUATION OF MINES AND OIL PROPERTIES 243
It is a fact that industrial enterprises because of additional
risks demand greater interest returns than Government bonds
and it seems reasonable that mining investments taken as a
class should call for a greater rate of interest than industrial
enterprises.
This claim for a higher rate of interest is opposed by such an
authority on mine valuation as Mr. J. R. Finlay * who can be
quoted as follows:
“ Ihave generally assumed that 5 per cent was a normal inter-
est — or discount rate. If that is so, it is a fair figure to use in a
mine valuation, which should be nothing but a candid inquiry
into the present value of expected profits.”
If Mr. Finlay’s statement is correctly understood, he is willing
to ignore the risk that these prospective profits may be dimin-
ished or may entirely be cut off before the estimated life of the
property has been accomplished. If it is true that at any min-
ing property risks exist over and above the risks existing in
so-called “safe” investments, then a 5 per cent discount or
interest rate is not sufficient to induce sane investment. Mr.
Finlay’s 5 per cent interest rate, as applied to the iron mines of
Michigan in his appraisal made for the State Tax Commission
in 1911, was changed by that Commission to a 6 per cent basis
in 1913.
Other authorities have gone on record as advocating higher
interest rates and in this connection the following will be found
of interest:
Mr. J. H. Curle | states that a suitable mining investment
must fulfill the following requirements:
“ 1st. The development in the bottom must be good;
“2nd. The mine must pay 10 per cent per annum;
“ 3rd. There must be 60 per cent of the price of the shares in
sight.”
Mr. Hoover in his admirable work on mine valuation says: }
* J. R. Finlay, “Valuation of Iron Mines,” Trans. A.LM.E., Vol. 45, P- 295.
t J. H. Curle, “The Economist,” London, Sept. 15, 1903.
I H. C. Hoover, “Principles of Mining,” 1909.