28
POLITICAL ECONOMY
the method of watching, directly or in records,
multitudes of facts with a view to discovering
their causal relationships, whether it is
applied to existing conditions or historically,
everybody is fully convinced in these days.
But pure induction is not a flawless method.
It labours under the limitation that, though
it can declare what is, it cannot unaided
explain why it is. To explain why a law holds
we must always have recourse to analysis.
Nevertheless, induction is indispensable, and
no more subordinate than deduction. The
former indicates what needs to be explained ;
and to discover what needs explanation is
sometimes far more difficult than to explain.
Moreover, by separating from the seeming
chaos of economic phenomena the sequences
and co-existences which are repeated, it
suggests uniformities, and thus gives birth
to the soul of scientific explanation, the
hypothesis. Further, its aid must be enlisted
in the testing of hypothesis.
The broad generalisations of economics,
as those of every other science, are concerned
with tendencies. We are not, therefore,
trying to discover exactly what happens
at any moment of time, and it would not be
of much value merely to describe the economic
world to those gifted with powers of observa-