SEMAINE D'ÉTUDE SUR LE ROLE DE L'ANALYSE ECONOMETRIQUE ETC,
108;
to be accepted not because such a decision is necessarily right,
but because it is the decision of a superior authority (*). Society
must accept this authority principle for stability and orderly
progress, even in organised revolutionary activities.
3-3. This very authority principle must, however, be absol-
ately and completely rejected in the field of science. Modern
science is based on a patient accumulation of facts, on the study
of processes and their interrelations or interactions and a
stability or uniformity of nature (*) which can be discovered by
‘he human mind. The findings of the most eminent scientists
are subject to critical check by their professional colleagues and
by the youngest scientific workers, and must be rejected if there
is no satisfactory corroboration. Science can advance only
through free criticism on a completely democratic basis, with
every research worker of competence enjoying equal status.
The theoretical or conceptual framework of science must be
(’) It is possible, indeed, that this decision itself would have been
reversed if there had been a still higher court to which the case could be
referred. If a decision of a higher court of appeal is considered to be like
the turning up « heads » (in tossing an unbiased coin) when the decision
upholds the verdict of the lower court, and is considered to be like the
turning up of « tails » when the verdict of the lower court is reversed,
then the successive decision of the higher court would look like the
results of the tossing of a coin. This would be the real guarantee that the
system of law is functioning properly.
{} The phrase « uniformity of nature » must be, of course, inter-
oreted to include chance events and random processes. Although games of
chance were known and were widely prevalent in ancient times in Chira,
[ndia and other countries, it is important to note that the concept of
probability did not arise until the 16th and the 17th centuries, that is,
not until the emergence of modern science. This in easy to understand.
Before the emergence of the modern scientific view of an obiective world
of physical reality, all chance events would have to be necessarily ascribed
to the whims of gods, demons, or supernatural forces. After the emergence
of the scientific view of an objective world of physical reality, it became
necessary, both logically and psychologically, for the human mind to acco-
mmodate the occurrence of chance event as an integral part of the unif-
ormity of nature. This could be accomplished only on the basis of the
theory of probability, or rather, as I should prefer to put it, only through
a statistical view of the world. It seems to me, therefore, that the con-
-ept of probability, of the statistical view of the world did arise at the
same time as the emergence of modern science onlv because it could not
possibly have arisen earlier.
Mahalanobis I - pag.
x Ly