CURRENCY AND PRICE MOVEMENTS 119
credit. It is not till later that the earnings of consumers are
affected owing to the consequent crisis or slump in trade, and
then only if the decrease in the effective circulation has
not been counterbalanced by the development of banking
processes, whereby unemployed holdings are reduced to
a minimum and the existing stock of money is made to
circulate with much greater velocity.
Finally, the Quantity Theory only takes into account
the influence of the volume of currency in so far as that
effect makes itself felt through the consumer upon goods
already produced. It neglects the influence which an
increase or decrease in the volume of currency in circula-
tion may have upon production, and thereby on the supply
of goods. But such variations are far from negligible in
this respect. In order to see this, it is only necessary to
observe the efforts of banks to put into circulation as
much money as possible by inducing private individuals
to make deposits which are used for credit operations.
This process, so far from being unknown to economists,
is emphasised in those passages which deal with banking,
but its effect on production, and so also on the supply
of goods, is generally forgotten in sections dealing with
monetary theory.? Now under different headings and
1 It should also be pointed out that in expounding the Quantity Theory
its application through an increase or decrease in the amount of money has
been considered in a market in which, by hypothesis, the money is immediately
and entirely spent in purchases and in which any increase or decrease in the
amount of money therefore corresponds exactly to a proportional variation in
demand. Now it is far from true that any variations in the monetary stock of a
country correspond to variations in the demand for goods in the same country;
currency circulates with greater or less velocity, it will lie in larger or
smaller quantities in the pockets of individuals or the vaults of banks,
which sometimes increase the velocity of circulation by a liberal credit
policy, 1.e., by lending money deposited with them, and sometimes reduce
the effective circulation and purchasing power by contracting credit.
2 Present-day economists have readily acknowledged that the intro-
duction of the credit factor complicates the mechanism of trade, and several
English writers (in particular Keynes, in his “Tract on Monetary Reform,”
and Hawtrey in “Currency and Credit”) have analysed the question. But
those economists who follow the method of deduction have commonly
neglected the compensating effect of credit on supply. Moreover, however
cautiously they may speak of the application of the Quantity Theory in a