146
now compared. And we have to bear in
mind that we are now comparing the two
trade areas as regards one section of trade only.
The results in Table 1. certainly sub
stantiate the theory of compensating trade
fluctuation, and they also evidence the general
tendency of the trade of the world constantly
to increase.
An important point here crops up. Is
Europe decreasing or increasing its share of
the world’s export trade ? Although this
question has not been put to me for exam
ination, it bears upon this matter of the
Geographical Distribution of Capital, and it
is worth looking into. Here are the results :—
1890
1891
1892
1893
1894
1895
1896
1897
D.—Europe’s Share of the World’s Exports.
Per Cent.
69-7
68-3
65 9
68-2
680
69 2
699
69 1
1898
1899
1900
1901
1902
1903
1904
Per Cent.
661
668
669
650
663
662
651
This means that in the year 1890 Europe’s
exports were equal to 69’7 per cent, of the
world’s exports, and that in 1904 Europe’s
share had fallen to 65T per cent. The falling
tendency is well marked. And the deduction