IOO
EMPLOYMENT PSYCHOLOGY
of the difficulties in convincing individuals of the scientific
significance of the psychological method. Most individ
uals have no conception whatsoever of the statistical
method and of the importance of basing judgments on a
large number of cases rather than a small number of
isolated instances. In the experience of the writer it has
seemed as if not one business man in a hundred were able
to free himself from the compelling magic of the isolated
dramatic instance. Mention has already been made of
the impression made upon a group of hard-headed business
men by a wild guess that one of the group was a Cornell
man. To be right with respect to a single applicant has
sometimes done as much to convince a certain official of
the value of tests as an entire experiment, covering forty
or fifty individuals, and involving the most accurate and
painstaking statistical work. On the other hand, one or
two failures have often done more damage than a similar
experiment could repair.
The power of the dramatic instance—called dramatic
because it happens at the time being to monopolize the
entire stage in the mind of the individual—is one of the
chief obstacles to the pioneering psychologist. “That may
all be true;” one hears an individual say after an experi
ment or a follow up covering fifty or a hundred applicants
has just been explained to him, with the correlations which
were found and the high percentage of agreement between
the verdicts of the tests and those of the foremen or those
obtained from actual production figures; “but there is
Miss . Now I know her and her work very well-
She has been with the company for five years and during
that time has given perfect satisfaction in the place where
she works; and yet, according to your tests, she would
not be considered good for the work she is at. Then,