XL.—CORRELATION : MISCELLANEOUS THEOREMS. 221
often happens in the case of statements as to market prices), take
the arithmetic mean (28s. 4d.) as the general average. But if we
know that 23,930 qrs. were sold at 4, only 26 qrs. at B, and 3933
qrs. at C, it will be better to take the weighted mean
(29s. 1d. x 23,930) + (27s. 7d. x 26) + (28s. 4d. x 3933) 99
~ 27889 oT
to the nearest penny. This is appreciably higher than the
arithmetic mean price, which is lowered by the undue importance
attached to the small markets B and C.
In the case of index-numbers for exhibiting the changes in
average prices from year to year (¢f. Chap. VIL. § 25), it may
make a sensible difference whether we take the simple arithmetic
mean of the index-numbers for different commodities in any one
year as representing the price-level in that year, or weight the
index-numbers for the several commodities according to their
importance from some point of view ; and much has been written
as to the weights to be chosen. If, for example, our standpoint
be that of some average consumer, we may take as the weight for
each commodity the sum which he spends on that commodity in
an average year, so that the frequency of each commodity is
taken as the number of shillings or pounds spent thereon instead
of simply as unity.
Rates or ratios like the birth-, death-, or marriage-rates of a
country may be regarded as weighted means. For, treating the
rate for simplicity as a fraction, and not as a rate per 1000 of the
population,
Birth-rate of whole country = el
_ =(birth-rate in each district x population in that district)
- S (population of each district)
i.e. the rate for the whole country is the mean of the rates in the
different districts, weighting each in proportion to its population.
We use the weighted and unweighted means of such rates as
illustrations in §17 below.
16. It is evident that any weighted mean will in general differ
from the unweighted mean of the same quantities, and it is
required to find an expression for this difference. If » be the
correlation between weights and variables, o,, and o, the standard-
deviations, and @ the mean weight, we have at once
3(W.X)=NMw+ro,o,),
whe... M=M+ ro,
“noe 15)