THE WAR AND POST-WAR PERIOD :
On the return of transportation to something akin to normal
conditions, thousands of foreign-born residents of the United States
who had been forced by war conditions to postpone a trip to their
former home sailed for Europe. Among these were many returning
because of changed political conditions. For example, in the three
fiscal years 1920, 1921, and 1922, the emigrant aliens destined to
reconstituted Poland numbered over 90,000, most of them of the
Polish race.
Obviously, the emigration movements of the early post-war
period, at least, need close analysis for other influences before the
role played by economic conditions in this country can be as-
certained.
Tardy Recovery of Immigration.
Immigration, likewise, was somewhat slow to recover, not quite
reaching the two hundred and fifty thousand mark in 1919 (calendar
year). The incoming movement, however, exhibited a growing
momentum and reached a total of over seven hundred thousand in
the calendar year 1920, not including nonimmigrants: and even in
1921, despite industrial depression, did not drop below 50,000 per
month until June, 1921, by which time the three per centum quota
law had gone into effect.
This law was apparently due, in part at least, to the fear that
the volume of immigration in 1920 was but an indication of the
growing momentum of a flood of immigrants which had been
dammed up by war conditions and which now, spurred by actual
or impending economic and political chaos in Europe, threatened
to inundate this country with an unprecedented volume of aliens.
Whatever the facts may be concerning the probability of the
expected inundation, steps were taken in the law of May, 1921,
which make the disentanglement of the economic trends in the
subsequent period more than usually difficult. Because the quotas
began to be available in July, and twenty per cent of the quota of
any country could be admitted in a single month, the law has tended
to concentrate the arrivals in the second half of the calendar year,
thus creating a seasonal movement materially different from that
characteristic of the pre-war period, and obscuring the effects of
industrial prosperity and depression except for those countries
which were obviously falling short of the quota or, like Canada and
Mexico, were not subject to the law.
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