CURRENCY AND PRICE MOVEMENTS 117
products, live stock, minerals which are used as raw
materials, stocks and shares, etc., which have a regular
market, and the production of which cannot be suddenly
increased. On the other hand, in the case of manufactured
goods where production is much more elastic, the influence
of supply and demand on prices is much less certain. In
many cases, their influence may be nil, because an increase
in supply meets an increase in demand and they continue
to balance each other. It may even have a reverse effect,
because an increase in production may lower the cost
price by effecting economies in labour or material, or a
better division of labour, or technical improvements, or a
greater degree of concentration. If we ask certain classes
of manufacturers, or if we look back on our own experi-
ence as consumers, we shall see that an increase in demand
is hardly likely to provoke a permanent rise in “fancy
articles,” motor cars and a thousand other industrial pro-
ducts, so long as their production goes on regularly.
And so, while the Quantity Theory seems to apply
inevitably and automatically on the assumption of a
demand for money—an assumption which is unreal except
in the case of the exchanges—it works much less exactly
when we consider the effect of the stock of money on
the demand for goods.
Moreover, it is by no means evident that, in accordance
with Irving Fisher’s premises, a rise in prices, due to
technical causes, would yield to a decline in demand if
the stock of money were not increased. It is possible for
prices to rise while the quantity of available money
remains stable because consumption may have declined.
And apart from this, as we have already seen, particularly
in the case of Czechoslovakia, if a rise in prices is caused
by some external factor such as the exchange, the neces-
sary money will create itself in proportion to require-
ments, and money of account, in default of real money,
will be increased by means of clearing operations. Con-
versely, it is perfectly conceivable that a fall in prices
may take place under the influence of an increase of
production and competition in selling. The consumer in