APPENDIX I
379
the influence of gross earnings on net earnings is greater than
that given by (7), which expresses the most probable effect for
all the banks. Similarly, the negative mean v of Group 4,
— 1.0 + 0.3, indicates that the influence of gross earnings on net
earnings in that group is smaller than that given by (7), if the
influence of total expense is assumed everywhere to be the same.
Thus far in this analysis, an approximate measure of the rela-
tive influence of gross earnings and of total expense on net earn-
ings is secured. It has also been shown that the probability is
great that either one or the other of the following propositions
is true: (1) if the law of variation of net earnings with gross
earnings is the same for banks in all groups, then the probability
is about 1,000 to 7 that the law of variation of net earnings with
total expense is different for banks in the different groups; (2)
if the law of variation of net earnings with total expense is the
same for banks in all groups, then the probability is also large
that the law of variation of net earnings with gross earnings is
different for banks in the different groups.
One method of proving which of the two above propositions
is the more true is to treat each of the four groups separately,
in a manner similar to that followed for the entire 408 banks.
This has been done. The constants K,, K,, E’;, and E’, in the
general equations (1) and (2), for each of the groups, together
with the probable errors, are shown in Table IV.
The outstanding facts in this table are, first, that the law of
variation of net earnings with gross earnings is practically the
same in all groups; that is, the constant E, = 4 0.77 + 0.04, ap-
proximately, and is the same as that given by equation (7) based
upon all banks. Second, the law of variation of net earnings
with total expense varies widely from group to group; that is,
the constant E,” has a minimum numerical value of 0.33 in Group
4 and a maximum numerical value of 0.62 in Group 3. The differ-
ence between these two values is nearly 3 times their probable
errors, significant indication that total expense influences net
earnings more in banks in which it is low—it is these which tend
to increase—than in banks in which it is high—it is these which
tend to decrease. Moreover, the difference between any two
group values of E. (with the possible exception of those for
3 The difference is about eleven times the probable error of E from Solution
IL viz., * 0.026.